MarketExpress

India-EU FTA: Implications for the World

Negotiations for the EU-India FTA began in 2007 but were suspended in 2013 before being formally relaunched in 2022. The conclusion of the agreement on January 27, 2026, was driven by a powerful geopolitical imperative for both parties to strengthen ties between major democracies, diversify supply chains, and build resilience amidst global economic challenges.

With bilateral trade in goods and services already exceeding €180 billion annually, the European Commission projects the deal will double EU goods exports to India by 2032.[1] The EU-India Free Trade Agreement (FTA) has been presented by EU institutions as a strategic and economic milestone, intended to deepen ties between two major economies and reduce barriers that have historically constrained bilateral trade, especially India’s high applied tariffs and administrative friction.[2]

  1. Sectoral Analysis:

An examination of the specific sectoral commitments reveals the ‘give-and-take’ that defined the EU-India negotiations.

Automobile Sector

EU motor vehicle exports to India were valued at €1.6 billion in 2024, a figure set to grow substantially under the new tariff regime.[6]

Machinery Sector

This is the EU’s largest goods export category to India, valued at €16.3 billion in 2024. The elimination of duties represents a significant commercial gain for the EU.[1]

Chemical Sector

EU chemical exports to India were valued at €3.2 billion in 2024. For India, chemicals (specifically heterocyclic compounds) and related petroleum products represent some of its largest export categories to the EU, totaling over $10 billion annually.[3]

Oil & Petrochemical Sector

 

2) EU-India FTA: Comparative Tariff Concessions

Since all the sectors above are key strategic sectors for many countries, while they also face similar initial tariffs outlined above in the EU market, we can expect huge competition from India in this market due to the greater market access by Indian firms in this market. Therefore, the countries that have not yet arrived at a trade deal with the EU could aim to replicate some of these successful strategies, adapted to its own economic structure and objectives. Following are some examples.