Some creeping optimism about the US debt ceiling, easing of pressure on bank shares, and a continued rise in US rates helped the dollar extend its recent recovery. Over the past two weeks or so,...
The market sentiment remains fragile. Equities are mostly lower. Japan was a notable exception, and concerns about China’s economy after a sharp decline in imports took mainland and Hong Kong listed companies sharply lower. Europe’s...
A combination of a surprisingly strong prices paid component to the US manufacturing PMI, corporate supply, and US debt woes spurred an almost 15 bp spike in the US 10-year yield and 13 bp jump...
Perhaps it was the extent of First Republic Bank’s loss of deposits that were reported with earnings yesterday, but risk appetites dried up today. Asia Pacific equities were trounced outside Japan today. Hong Kong and...
Equities are mostly lower, while bonds have risen. The dollar is trading in narrow ranges and mixed against the G10 currencies and emerging markets. Most Asian bourses were lower. The Nikkei (though not the Topix)...
As the long-holiday ends, risk appetites have returned. Equities and yields are mostly higher. The dollar is seeing yesterday’s gains pared. Yesterday’s setback in the yen helped lift Japanese stocks, with the Nikkei advancing 1%....
There is a fragile calm in the capital markets today ahead of the long holiday weekend for many. The poor US economic data yesterday and third consecutive decline in the KBW bank index weighed on...
The market has concluded that the Fed will hike rates today. The US two-year yield has risen from about 3.63% at Monday’s lows almost 4.20% yesterday. It needs to rise to 4.35% to recover half...
The dramatic shift in expectations for Fed policy is a potent shock, with reverberations throughout the capital markets. The business press was full of accounts putting the nearly 50 bp decline in the US two-year...
Seeing the drama he inspired on Tuesday, the Fed chair tried soft-pedaling the idea that he was signaling a 50 bp hike in March. The market did not buy it. And the odds, discounted by...
Many investors may be skeptical of the accuracy of Chinese data, but its stronger than expected February PMI animated the animal spirits and bolstered risk-taking appetites. Asia Pacific equities jumped, led by the 4.2% rally...
The focus is on the US CPI report today, but the price action is anything but intuitive. Although the revisions of the basket and methodological changes reinforce expectations for the largest rise in three months,...
