Marc Chandler
us-interest-rate

Will What the Fed Says be More Important than What it Does?

The focus is squarely on the Federal Reserve today. There is nearly universal agreement that it will lift the target by 25 bp. The market is inclined to see the shift as a sign that...

boj-market-marketexpress-in

With Trepidation, the Market Awaits the BOJ

With the market nearly ruling out a 50 bp hike by the Federal Reserve on February 1, the interest rate adjustment appears to have largely run its course. This may be helping to ease the...

eu-ecb-european-central-bank-marketexpress-in

European Rates Continue to Surge, Sending Stocks Spiraling Lower

Seven of the G10 central banks pumped the brakes between last week and this week as they purposely seek to push demand back into line with supply. And there are more signs that they are...

dollar-markets-marketexpress-in

Calm Markets with Japan on Holiday Today and the US Tomorrow

The capital markets are quiet today with Japan on holiday and the US on holiday tomorrow. Asia Pacific equities were mostly firmer after yesterday’s rally on Wall Street. Europe’s Stoxx 600 is about 0.25% higher...

dollar-markets-marketexpress-in

The Dollar Posts Corrective Upticks, while the Market Digests China’s Initiatives

China’s new initiatives to support the property sector helped lift the Hang Seng. And while the China’s CSI 300 edged higher both the Shanghai and Shenzhen composites fell. Most Asia Pacific markets fell, while Europe’s...

us-interest-rate

It is not So Much about the Fed’s hike Today but the Forward Guidance

A consolidative tone has emerged ahead of the outcome of the FOMC meeting later today. The focus is not so much on the 75 bp rate hike, but on its forward guidance. Many expect the...

dollar-markets-marketexpress-in

Intraday Momentum Indicators Point to a Dollar Recovery After the Employment Report

Asia Pacific bourses followed yesterday’s US loss, but after opening lower Europe’s Stoxx 600 has steadied. US futures are narrowly mixed ahead of the US jobs report. Benchmark 10-year yields are higher across the board....

sterling-uk-marketexpress-in

Sterling Continues to be Pounded

Sterling’s pounding continued in Asia where it was driven to $1.0350, a new record low before stabilizing. UK rates also continued to rise sharply after the new government promised more tax cuts next year. The...

market-marketexpress-in

Calmer Capital Markets…for the Moment

The capital markets are quiet today. Equity markets and bond yields have a slight upside bias, while the dollar is little changed. Despite reports that the lockdown in Chengdu is easing, Chinese equities underperformed in...

sterling-uk-marketexpress-in

Aussie Sells Off After RBA Hikes 50 bp while Sterling Bounces on UK New Initiative

A GBP130 bln initiative by the new UK government to protect households from the surge in power costs helped lift sterling from 2.5-year lows. The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered the expected 50 bp rate...

euro-Europe -MarketExpress

Surging Energy Prices Pushing Europe Closer to Recession

The poor eurozone PMI underscores likely recession and weighs on the single currency, which was sold to a new 20-year low.  Rather than a “Turn Around Tuesday”  a broadly consolidative session is unfolding. Asian and...

us-interest-rate

Fed Minutes were Not as Dovish as Initially Read

The sell-off in European bonds continues today. The 10-year German Bund yield is around four basis points higher to bring the three-day increase to about 22 bp. The Italian premium over Germany has risen by...