Opinion
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Gold Price Outlook: US Election & Fed Policy Impact on India

Gold has always been considered a safe-haven asset, attracting investors during times of uncertainty, whether political, economic, or financial. As the global economy faces increasing complexities, especially in light of ongoing geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures,...

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Trump’s Tariff Talks Wobble Forex Market, Close Neighbors Suffer Most

As some market pundits were debating about a possible grand deal between the US and China. In exchange for a lighter tariff regime, Beijing would accept yuan appreciation. As far-fetched as such scenario may be,...

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Ueda Lifts Yen, Leaving Euro and Sterling Pinned Near Lows

Escalating tensions in Europe and comments from Bank of Japan Ueda that spurred speculation of a December hike are the main drivers of the foreign exchange market today. The yen is the strongest of the...

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Higher Yields Help Extend the Dollar’s Gains

The dollar continues to ride high. It is up 0.20%-0.50% today against the G10 currencies. Most pairs have extended last week’s moves. The Dollar Index, which was near 100 in late September is approaching 106.00....

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Soft US Headline CPI is Unlikely to Be Sufficient to Reanimate Expectations of another Large Fed Cut

The US dollar is mostly softer ahead of the September CPI. The euro and Canadian dollar have recorded new lows for the move. The greenback extended its gains against the yen to JPY149.55 but has...

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Consolidation Featured, but the Yen and Mexican Peso are Under Pressure, While PBOC Fixed the US Dollar Lower

The week is winding down and the US dollar is mostly consolidating against the G10 currencies. Two exceptions stand out. First, sterling is the only G10 currency higher on the day. It follows the BOE’s...

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BOJ Offers Verbal Support, Extends the Yen’s Pullback

The calls earlier this week for an emergency rate cut seemed to be a call for the Fed put, which, we argue is misunderstood. It is not about the stock market per se but financial...

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Market Boosts Odds of a BOE Rate Cut this Week

The US dollar is mostly firmer today ahead of what promises to be an eventful week. Sterling is bearing the brunt today, off a little less than half-of-a-cent as expectations creep up of a rate...

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Is the Dramatic Yen Short Squeeze Over?

The powerful yen short squeeze that has roiled the capital market this week has stalled today. It is the first day this week that the dollar has not fallen below the previous day’s low and...

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Week Ahead: US Dollar to Extend Recovery while Stocks Correct Lower

The consolidative phase for the dollar, we anticipated last week, after its recent drop, is evolving into a proper upside correction. We expect the dollar to trade broadly firmer over the next week or so....

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Euro is Little Changed, while the Yen is Softer to Start the New Week

The dollar is narrowly mixed against the G10 and emerging market currencies today. The euro is little changed, holding on to last week’s gains, after the surprising French election results, where the focus shifts finding...

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Dollar strength: Why developing countries are nervous

Emerging economies are wary of the strength of the US dollar. They are taking steps to ensure the soaring greenback doesn’t fuel inflation and derail growth. We explain why they remain vulnerable. In addition, growing...