Marc Chandler
ruble russia-marketexpress-in

Sanctions on Russia & Weapons for Ukraine: Knee-Jerk Panic Pared

Bold new sanctions on Russia and more weapons for Ukraine were announced over the weekend.  Russia responded by raising the readiness of its nuclear forces. As a result, the risk-on seen ahead of the weekend...

reduce-risk-marketexpress-in

Risk Appetites Remain Fragile

The sentiment that fueled the recovery in US equities before the weekend carried over into today.  Several Asia Pacific centers, including China, Taiwan, and South Korea were closed today, but Japan, Hong Kong, and India...

equities

Equities and Bonds Sell-Off

Surging yields and plummeting equities are the main developments today.   The US 10-year yield pushed above 1.80% and the two-year yield is above 1% for the first time since February 2020.  European yields are pulling...

treasury-yields-markets-marketexpress-in

Treasury Yields Continue to Move Higher

The new week does not mean new forces. The dollar is recouping some of what it lost ahead of the weekend after the disappointing US jobs growth, but yields continue to rise and many risk...

china-us-tariffs-marketexpress-in

The Chagrin of Beijing and the Problem of Time

The central bank meeting cycle is over. Most of the important high-frequency data has been released until early January. The US debt ceiling has been lifted, avoiding an improbable default. A year ago, there was a sense...

us-interest-rate

Fed Unleashes Animal Spirits

The Fed’s hawkish pivot came a few weeks before yesterday’s FOMC meeting, which confirmed more or less what the market had already largely anticipated. Buy the (dollar) on rumors (of tapering and more aggressive stance...

markets-global-marketexpress-in

Markets Calmer, Awaiting Fresh Incentives

The capital markets are calmer today, and the fear that was evident at the end of last week remains mostly scar tissue. Led by gains in Japan, China, Australia, New Zealand, and India, the MSCI...

global-economy-inflation-growth-marketexpress-in

Fragile Calm Returns and Powell’s Anti-Inflation Rhetoric Ratchets Up

Into the uncertainty over the implications of Omicron, the Federal Reserve Chairman injected a particularly hawkish signal into the mix in his testimony before the Senate.  These are the two forces that are shaping market...

turkey-lira-marketexpress-in

Turkey gets a Reprieve before US Thanksgiving, but Capital Strike may not be Over

The dramatic collapse of the Turkish lira was like an accident one could not help look at, but it was not an accident, but the result of a disregard for the exchange rate and compromised...

trading-bull-markets

Falling Yields Give the Yen a Boost

Reports that the Fed’s Brainard was interviewed for the Chair helped soften yields a bit, not that they needed extra pressure, on ideas she is more dovish than Powell.  In turn, the lower yields saw...

November BWCI- gdp-currency-basket-marketexpress-in

Surging energy prices, interest rates & Supply chain disruptions: November Monthly

Three main forces are shaping the business and investment climate:  Surging energy prices, a dramatic backing up of short-term interest rates in Anglo-American countries, and the persistence of supply chain disruptions. The US and Europe...

Eyes Turn to the ECB and the First Look at Q3 US GDP

The market awaits the ECB meeting and the first look at the US Q3 GDP.  The pullback in US shares yesterday was a drag on the Asia Pacific equities.  It is the first back-to-back loss...