Wolf Richter
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Foreign Investors Pile into US Commercial Real Estate Bubble

Overall office sales in 2016 fell 7% from 2015, to $140.5 billion, according to JLL research cited by CommercialCafé, a sister company Yardi Matrix. And leasing activity was hampered by office tenants that were “reluctant to...

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“Seriously Delinquent” Auto Loans Surge

The New York Fed, in its Household Debt and Credit Report for the fourth quarter 2016, put it this way today: “Household debt increases substantially, approaching previous peak.” It jumped by $226 billion in the...

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There’s a Lot More at Stake in this IPO than Just Toxic Financials

Snap Inc., the parent company of SnapChat, filed for an IPO on Thursday. The filing revealed just how toxic this deal is going to be, not just from a financial point of view – a...

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The Dollar, “the Most Crowded Trade,” Gets Less Crowded

On Tuesday, the dollar fell 1.25% against the basket of currencies in the Dollar Index. The index is down 3% since its peak at the end of 2016. US companies that report in dollars but...

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Get Ready for China’s Hot New Export Product: Inflation

China’s producer prices – which measure what is sometimes called “inflation at the factory” – soared 5.5% in December, from a year ago. This was far hotter than economists had expected, though they’d expected a...

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“Car Recession” Bites GM: Inventory Glut, Layoffs, Plant Shutdowns

GM has been reacting to its fabulously ballooning inventory glut by piling incentives on its vehicles. But that hasn’t worked all that well though it cost a lot of money. Now it’s time to get...

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Trump Tweets about China, US Businesses Freak out

China is important to US companies. Qualcomm gets 57% of its revenues in China, Micron 43%, Apple 23%, Jabil 21%, Boeing 13%, Wynn Resorts 60%, according to Bloomberg’s math. In the last earnings report, GM...

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“Trump Effect” Propels Americans’ Economic Hopes to Record High in Notoriously Gloomy Gallup Poll

No major consumer confidence measure has been more relentlessly negative since the Financial Crisis than Gallup’s weekly Economic Confidence Index. It has become notorious for its gloomy depiction of Americans’ feelings about the economy. It...

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Yuan Devaluation Triggers Exodus of Wealthy Chinese, US West Coast Primary Target

The systematically depreciating yuan and the house price bubbles in Chinese cities have made the elite nervous. Capital flight has become a priority. Dodging government limits on capital flight has turned into an art. And buying properties...

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“Tech” Malaise Pricks San Francisco Office Space Bubble

The rumored second round of layoffs at Twitter – which in 2011 was granted by the befuddled city of San Francisco the “Twitter tax break” on employment taxes – comes at a very inopportune moment...

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EVs May Send Big Oil into “Investor Death Spiral”: Fitch

Every global automaker is furiously working on a lineup of electric vehicles. Many of them already have a model in their showrooms. Billions are poured into it every year. Electric cars are cheaper and simpler...

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I’m in Awe of How Fast Deutsche Bank is Falling Apart

Deutsche Bank, with $2 trillion in assets, amounting to 58% of Germany’s GDP, one of the most globally interwoven banks, with gross notional derivatives exposure of €46 trillion, right at the top along with JP...