Opinion
dollar-equities-us

US Employment Data is Important but for the Millionth Time, Don’t Exaggerate It

Record high closes yesterday for the S&P 500 and NASDAQ have done little to help global equities today.  Most of the Asia Pacific region markets, but Japan and Australia slipped ahead of the weekend while...

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Capital Markets: Two Steps Forward, One Step Back

The US had a difficult week, falling against nearly all the major currencies, recording new lows for the month against the euro, Swiss franc, and sterling among the major currencies. Indeed, the euro and sterling...

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China Sends Ripples Across the Markets

 It is not China’s aggressive foreign policy that is the source of the disturbance in the capital markets, but its aggressiveness at home as it asserts control parts of the tech sector and toughens its...

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Did Japan Deliver a Fait Accompli to the US?

The biggest rally in US equities in four months has helped stabilize global shares today.  In the Asia Pacific region, Japan, China, and Australian markets advanced.  Led by information technology and consumer discretionary sectors, Europe’s...

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Strong Gains in US CPI and PPI Don’t Stop the Bond Market Rally

A possible deal in OPEC saw a sharp drop in crude oil prices, and there is some follow-through selling today. European yields are lower, though hawkish comments are weighing on UK Gilt prices. Australia’s jobs...

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Capital Markets Remain Unhinged

The dramatic move in the capital markets continues.  The US dollar is soaring as yields and equities slide.  The US 10-year yield has fallen below 1.30 to 1.26%  European benchmark yields are 1-4 bp lower,...

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Dollar’s Upside Correction Stalls after 3-4 Weeks of Gains

The greenback had a tough week. It fell against most currencies. Our GDP-weighted currency index snapped a three-week drop, which ended an eight-week advance. The combination of a seemingly more hawkish Federal Reserve and position...

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Turn Around Tuesday or Dollar Rally Resumes?

Firming long-term US yields have lent the dollar support after trading heavily yesterday.  The greenback is around 0.15%-0.50% higher against the major currencies.  The Japanese yen and Canadian dollar are among the more resilient, and...

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Dollar Becalmed as Markets Wait for US Leadership

The short squeeze that lifted the US dollar ahead of the weekend has seen limited follow-through buying, and instead a consolidative tone emerged.  Europe is searching for direction and perhaps waiting for US leadership after...

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Without Yield Support, the Dollar Wilts

Falling US yields weigh on the US dollar.  The 10-year Treasury yield is flirting with the 1.50% mark, and the greenback is trading heavily against all the major and most emerging market currencies. European and...

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The Dollar Snaps Back

The US dollar is enjoying broad, even if not large, gains today following yesterday’s recovery from three-year lows against sterling and four-year lows against the Canadian dollar.  The greenback is firmer against all the major...

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Money for nothing: Germany starts basic income experiment

The study, the first of three parts of the Pilotproject Grundeinkommen (Basic Income Pilot Project), will provide 122 participants with €1,200 ($1,420) a month for a period of three years. Participants did not have to...